Image is of the aftermath of an Israeli bombing of Beirut in 2006.
We are now almost one year into the war and genocide in Gaza. Despite profound hardship, the Gazan Resistance continues its battles against the enemy, entirely undeterred. Despite Israeli proclamations throughout 2024 that they have cleared out Hamas from various places throughout Gaza, we still see regular attacks and ambushes against Zionist forces. Just today (Monday), Al Qassam fighters ambushed and destroyed another convoy of Israeli vehicles. The predictions early on in the war were that Israel would defeat Hamas in mere months, needing only until December, then January, and so on. This has proven very much untrue. Israel is stuck in the mud; unable to destroy their enemy due to their lack of knowledge about the “Gaza Metro” and, of course, a lack of actual fighting skill, given how many times I’ve seen Zionists getting shot while they gaze wistfully out of windows.
The same quagmire will occur in Lebanon, only considerably worse. Both Nasrallah and Sinwar possess a similar strategy of luring Zionist forces onto known, friendly territory, replete with traps and ambushes, to bleed them dry of equipment, manpower, and the will to continue fighting. The scale of the invasion could fall anywhere on the spectrum from “very limited” - more of a series of raids on Hezbollah positions than truly trying to occupy land - to a total invasion which would seek to permanently take control of Southern Lebanon. Neither is likely to destroy, or even substantially diminish Hezbollah’s fighting abilities. This is not wishful thinking: Hezbollah has convincingly defeated Israel twice before in its history, pushing them from their territory, and both times Hezbollah had almost no missiles and a limited supply of other equipment, relying on improvisation as often as not. The Hezbollah of 2024 is an entirely different organization to that of the early 2000s.
Attempts to drive wedges between Hezbollah and the rest of Lebanon are also unlikely to succeed. Hezbollah is not just a military force, it is extremely interlinked into various communities throughout Lebanon, drawing upon those communities to recruit soldiers. Throughout its history, it has provided education, healthcare, reconstruction, and dozens of other services one would attribute to a state. Amal Saad’s recent suggestion of using “quasi-state actor” as a more respectful replacement for the typical “non-state actor” seems advisable. And the decentralized command structures, compartmented leadership, strong succession planning, and aforementioned community ties almost entirely neutralizes the effectiveness of assassinations. Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary General Naim Qassem has confirmed that Hezbollah’s path has been set by Nasrallah, and his martyrdom will not stop nor even pause their efforts. Additionally, he confirmed that despite the recent attacks by Israel which nominally focussed on destroying missile depots, Hezbollah’s supply of weapons has not been degraded, and they are still only using the minimum of their capabilities.
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Last week’s thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Lenin please come back.
Now I know why they lady invited the killer aliens in 3 body problem
A brief recap of events for today (September 30, 2024) on the Palestine/Lebanon front.
Zionist genocidal attacks on Lebanon killed 136 people (including six paramedics) over the past 24 hours. In response to the attacks, Hezbollah resistance forces conducted a Nour missile strike on the northern Zionist settlement of Kafr Giladi. In addition, the resistance also conducted rocket strikes on Safed, the Katsarin military base, and the Naqoura military base (using Fadi-2 rockets).
Islamic Resistance in Iraq forces conducted drone strikes on targets in Haifa.
Yemeni air defenses shot down another US MQ-9 Reaper drone.
At the very end of the day, the fascist Tel Aviv regime started invading parts of southern Lebanon.
More details on the US troop deployment to the Middle East.
The U.S. is sending a “few thousand” troops to the Middle East to bolster security and to defend Israel if necessary, the Pentagon said Monday. The announcement follows word that Israel has already launched limited raids across the border into Lebanon.
The additional forces would raise the total number of troops in the region to as many as 43,000…
The additional personnel includes squadrons of F-15E, F-16, and F-22 fighter jets and A-10 attack aircraft, and the personnel needed to support them. The jets were supposed to rotate in and replace the squadrons already there. Instead, both the existing and new squadrons will remain in place to double the airpower on hand.
Looking at that force, which will obviously be supplemented by EA-18G Growler Electronic Warfare (EW) aircraft from aircraft carriers in the region, it is a very diverse force capable of carrying out a first strike on any country in the region and bypassing their air defences, or being capable of supporting strikes, close air support with air superiority being secured, or intercepting ballistic missile attacks.
The F-15E Strike Eagle is a two seat, twin engine multirole jet very capable at air interdiction missions. This was the type of jet that shot down quite a few Iranian drones during the Iranian retaliation earlier this year. It can carry out air to air and air to ground missions.
The F-16 is a single seat, single engine multirole aircraft capable of air to air and air to ground missions. It is a jet that also has a variant and squadrons trained exclusively for “wild weasel” tactics, which involve baiting air defences and shooting anti radiation missiles at their location.
The F-22 is a twin engine, single seat stealth fighter jet, designed for air superiority, but is also capable of limited air to ground missions. Should be able to fly over the entire region without having to worry about being detected or shot down, gives the option for a stealth first strike on any country.
The A-10 is a ground attack aircraft designed exclusively for Close Air Support (CAS) missions. It is very venerable to enemy air defences and even MANPADS, requires complete air superiority to be used. But it is good at that role, designed around it’s 30mm Gatling gun.
In other dying empire news, the US Navy’s recently released Navigation Plan has the primary goal of preparing the Navy for war with the PRC by 2027. The plan also reads like a hybrid between marketing speak and a r/worldnews comment
Seems like Israel also began bombing Damascus, Syria. Anyone can confirm that?
It appears that Syrian news broadcaster Safaa Ahmed has died as a result of Israeli airstrikes in Damascus tonight.
The General Authority for Radio and Television mourns the great broadcaster Safaa Ahmed, a martyr, as a result of the treacherous #Israeli aggression that the capital, #Damascus, was subjected to.
It appears as if she ended up reporting on her own death…
the famous Lenin quote is happening now isn’t it
Last week in the news mega, I made a comment about how state department narratives get laundered through network news by having incompetent “journalists” asks terrible questions with no follow up to state dept pros. The fact these news anchors don’t actually know anything is the point. The people they have on to interview just work them over and reinforce the narratives that they want Americans to fully accept. Was watching another clip today of the same news anchor team (CBS Mornings) give a somewhat hostile interview to Ta-Nehisi Coates. I was getting annoyed so I decided to look up the bios of these three news anchors. The point isn’t to pick on them specifically, they are just indicative of a wider issue in one the main ways Americans get their news (I would suspect more Americans watch network news than cable news).
First of the three anchors is Gayle King. She has some professional experience as a local news reporter but what she’s really famous for - and presumably why she’s an anchor on CBS’ morning news show - is being Oprah Winfrey’s best friend. By the way, I was acquainted with a local news reporter. She was a very nice person but would make Ron Burgundy look like Walter Kronkite.
Second, we have Nate Burleson. Nate is not in any way a journalist. He is actually… a former American football player (WR for the Minnesota Vikings). I am not making that up.
Finally, we have ostensibly the most qualified “journalist” Tony Dokoupil. He was the one who was asking the hasbara questions to Ta-Nehisi (“why have the Palestinians turned down every offer for peace?” and “Does Israel have a right to defend itself?”) By the way he has two kids and an ex-wife who live in Israel, no bias there. He did get a degree in “Media Studies” and wrote for Newsweek for a few years… but honestly so have a lot of people. This guy seems completely unremarkable as a journalist and he doesn’t seem to have won any awards or written anything memorable other than a book about what is was like to have a father who was a drug dealer. But he’s in control (to an extent) of how millions of Americans get their news.
Having incompetent journalists who don’t ask hard questions is just how capitalism and imperialism reproduces itself in the minds of Americans.
what she’s really famous for - and presumably why she’s an anchor on CBS’ morning news show - is being Oprah Winfrey’s best friend.
Thank you for reminding me of this. It was a huge part of pop culture in the early 00s but I somehow erased it from my memory. There are probably a lot of people who don’t know that Oprah also created Dr. Phil and Dr. Oz.
I’m not surprised yet still disappointed.
https://x.com/zeteo_news/status/1840873984553783449
State Department Spokesperson Matthew Miller: We’ve never wanted to see a diplomatic resolution with Hamas.
@prem_thakker : Well, what about the ceasefire?
Miller: I wish that Hamas would come to the table.
He isn’t sneering because he is proud of deceiving people, because he isn’t deceiving anyone. He is enjoying everybody else’s frustration and powerlessness.
He knows that we know that he knows how ridiculous and contradictory those answers are. But he still feels comfortable saying this garbage. That’s our fault, and it’s also the failure of the press. Where’s the accountability?
These politicians are like slime molds; they don’t think, they just react to stimuli.
Who’s ready to celebrate 10/7???
(It’s my dog’s birthday)
Also the national day of the GDR
Your dog is Putin?
July was 3 months ago
Nothing ever happens gang, your comments?
The dialectic is ever in motion.
I really hope this doesn’t escalate into full blown global war. We’re all getting drafted of thrown in a camp for being communists if that happens.
Thank God I’m from a region where almost nobody will get seriously involved in this shit
finally the meetup will happen
I’ll literally frag my superior officers
I’m too old, I’ll just have to rip up some rail lines or something. (Not that our infrastructure needs the help)
Perhaps the United States will follow the new Ukrainian conscription strategy, and draft us first so the young can be a surviving generation. I mean until they get desperate at least.
You could probably just throw a bottle on the rails
Guatemala isn’t getting involved if it does. We declare war and then don’t send anybody over.
So what are Zionists expecting out of this? For the IOF to storm in, start effortlessly gunning down every resistance fighter to the last man, and annex Lebanon in a matter of weeks or less with no casualties?
The anniversary of October 7th is rapidly approaching and they had nothing to show for it. This is a political decision, not a tactical or strategic one.
they think they’re on the “blitzkrieg” phase where they’re taking down everyone at the same time except they haven’t even won in Gaza yet
stupidly overconfident but hey, don’t interrupt your enemy while they’re making a (huge) mistake right?
Honestly what I’m worried about is the fact that while everyone’s been predicting that this is the move that will end Israel, who will end up in a quagmire, I just keep thinking of life as an asshole DM who looks at this, gives you the middle finger, and says “Israel rolls a nat 20, instantly obliterates Hezbollah and annexes Lebanon. Also Hamas disappears off the face of the earth. Fuck you”
That could be possible too with how Iran’s liberal leader continues to do nothing
Lula traveled to the North American country to attend the inauguration of Claudia Sheinbaum. Lula praised Mexico for electing a woman and defended new bilateral agreements.
Article (Translated)
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) once again condemned Israel’s actions, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, in the Middle East. The PT president classified the Israeli offensives against the Hamas and Hezbollah groups in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon, respectively, as “unnecessary killing”.
Lula made the statements during the Mexico-Brazil Business Forum in Mexico City. He said he was against conflicts, such as those in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, because war “doesn’t bring any benefits”.
“That’s why I am against, and condemn, what Israel is doing in Lebanon right now, attacking and killing innocent people. Because only the leaders they want to kill appear in the newspapers, but the innocent people who die don’t appear,” said Lula.
“That’s why I’m against the slaughter in the Gaza Strip. Because more than 41,000 women and children have already died. And then you have to rebuild what took centuries to build,” he added.
The president also criticized what he called the “unnecessary killing” taking place in the Middle East. Israel says the actions are a response to Hamas and Hezbollah.
“War is proof of a citizen’s incapacity for civilization, who thinks he can, in the explanation that he has to take revenge for an attack, go on an unnecessary killing spree with people who have no way of defending themselves,” he said.
Lula reaffirmed that Brazil wants “to be a zone of peace” and that it is willing to hold the necessary meetings to help end conflicts.
The conflict in the Middle East began in October 2023, when Hammas carried out a terrorist attack in Israel. Since then, Israeli troops have attacked and occupied the Gaza Strip.
The tension and conflict has spread to Lebanon, with Israeli attacks against Hezbollah, and risks reaching Iran. Brazil is evaluating a plan to remove Brazilians from Lebanon who want to leave the conflict zone, as happened in the Gaza Strip. The Brazilian community on Lebanese soil is large. Two young Brazilians have already died in attacks.
Last week in New York, where he attended the United Nations General Assembly, Lula had already raised his voice against Israel’s prime minister. On that occasion, when asked about the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah, he said that the prime minister was promoting “genocide”.
Last week, in an offensive against the extremist group Hezbollah, Israel carried out an air strike in Lebanon. According to Lebanese authorities, around 500 people died and more than 1,600 were injured. It was the bloodiest day in Lebanon since the 2006 war. Leaders from other countries fear that the conflict will turn into a “total war”.
A total war is an armed conflict in which two adversaries mobilize all their military and civilian resources for the sake of a complete victory over the other, which can widely affect the society and economy of the parties involved.