This race is the most “who fucking knows” since I’ve followed US elections.
Some things of I think are of note
AZ and NV having abortion ballot measures should heavily lean dem (someone else here already mentioned this)
NC’s governor ticket will probably drag Republicans down. Mark Robinson was exposed as a serial gooner (pornshop debt) who is a black Nazi that wants slavery to return (this is not a joke). He strikes me as a worse Herschel Walker/Dr Oz type candidate and I think dems pickup NC because of it. The broader Republican party is trying to run away from him because he’s seen as that toxic
GA will have the most brazenly corrupt election this side of the century, and that’s saying a lot since their incumbent governor probably stole his own first election already. Their election board will send Trump electors no matter what (unless there is somehow a massive electoral college win for Kamala which I don’t see happening)
MI goes for Trump on the Stein 3rd party vote and liberals transition from their current state (going mask off) to gleeful celebration of, like, domestic socdem repression
PA I genuinely have no clue. No confidence whatsoever in a call either way
Every other state I think is locked in (including WI for dems- this is possibly what I’ll be most gut feeling wrong about)
Republicans take the Senate
I think a 269-269 tie is an incredibly possible situation and I think it would fall under funniest timeline theory (for those reading this results in a Trump presidency due to tiebreaker rules favoring him).
And also in the event of a 269 vote tie dems will deffinitly concede immediatly and claim the moral high ground for the next 4 years, telling all of us they told us they’d lose if we didn’t support them.
They lost an election to the Republicans, they aren’t expected to do anything, and they can punch left and blame us. That’s literally everything the democratic party cpuld ask for.
This race is the most “who fucking knows” since I’ve followed US elections.
Some things of I think are of note
Republicans take the Senate
I think a 269-269 tie is an incredibly possible situation and I think it would fall under funniest timeline theory (for those reading this results in a Trump presidency due to tiebreaker rules favoring him).
And also in the event of a 269 vote tie dems will deffinitly concede immediatly and claim the moral high ground for the next 4 years, telling all of us they told us they’d lose if we didn’t support them.
They lost an election to the Republicans, they aren’t expected to do anything, and they can punch left and blame us. That’s literally everything the democratic party cpuld ask for.
There needs to be an “all the world’s a stage” but niche sexual complexes. “All politics is sexual pathology” just doesn’t cover it anymore