50·
16 hours agoI haven’t really gleaned this from reading anything, but just by looking at a map, Syria, along with northern Iraq, forms a land route straight from Iran to Lebanon, and the Yanks probably wanted that locked down.
PorkrollPosadist [he/him, they/them]
Hexbear’s resident machinist, absentee mastodon landlord, jack of all trades
Talk to me about astronomy, photography, electronics, ham radio, programming, the means of production, and how we might expropriate them.>
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Cake day: July 25th, 2020
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18·1 day agoJoe Biden’s inflation is really killing us.
per latest bulletin, 1000 AM CDT Mon Oct 07 2024: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/071455.shtml
Milton is likely to become a category 5 hurricane later today with light shear and very warm waters in its path. By tomorrow, its intensity should be dictated by any eyewall replacement cycles, which will likely cause the system to gradually weaken but grow larger. After 36 h, Milton is expected to encounter a much less favorable environment with strong shear and dry air entrainment. Therefore, some weakening is anticipated before the hurricane reaches the Florida Gulf coast. However, the system is still likely to be a large and powerful hurricane at landfall in Florida, with life-threatening hazards at the coastline and well inland. After landfall, Milton should weaken and start extratropical transition, which should be complete by 96 h.
We just need to convince
himAntony Blinken that the storm is Hamas.
Advisories, graphics, and forecasts (in block quotes) from NOAA. This post might not contain the most up-to-date information. Always check official sources.
Hurricane Milton, currently pounding the north of the Yucatan peninsula, is expected to make landfall in Florida on Wednesday. It has intensified into a
Category 4 storm, and might even reachCategory 5before landfall.Large portions of the coast of western Florida can expect storm surges over 12 feet (3.6 meters), in addition to 5-15 inches (13-38cm) of rainfall and winds reaching130MPH+ (209km/h+)157+ MPH (252+ km/h).
What’s this? I am receiving news that it is now a Category 5.
RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches, with localized totals up to 15 inches, are expected across portions of the Florida Peninsula and the Keys through Wednesday night. This rainfall brings the risk of considerable flash, urban, and areal flooding, along with the potential for moderate to major river flooding.
Milton will also produce rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated totals around 6 inches across northern portions of the Yucatan Peninsula…
Hurricane Milton
Advisory Number 10
10 AM CDT Monday October 07, 2024STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…
Anclote River, FL to Englewood, FL…8-12 ft
Tampa Bay…8-12 ft
Yankeetown, FL to Anclote River, FL…5-10 ft
Englewood, FL to Bonita Beach, FL…5-10 ft
Charlotte Harbor…5-10 ft
Bonita Beach, FL to Chokoloskee, FL…4-7 ft
Suwannee River, FL to Yankeetown, FL…3-5 ft
Chokoloskee, FL to Flamingo, FL…2-4 ft
Flamingo, FL to Card Sound Bridge, FL…1-3 ft
Indian Pass, FL to Suwannee River, FL…1-3 ft
Florida Keys…1-3 ft
Dry Tortugas…1-3 ft
63·2 days agoRobert added, “It makes no sense, as there are other, riskier cars out there. Let me know if you recommend any insurer for the truck. I have eight cars with an amazing record. I will be canceling my entire Geico policy!! Bye-bye!”
The absolute confidence chuds have in consumer boycotts is endearing.
Wouldn’t surprise me if the Electoral College actually defects in that scenario. There institutions were all created with the explicit purpose of tipping the scale should the need arise.
6·3 days agoMakes me think of Steve Ballmer running around on stage: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_WW2JWIv6G8
Bluesky is a psyop insofar as every Silicon Valley platform is a psyop, but the answer is more simple. Social media sites take off when there is an exodus from an existing platform. Voat was in position when Reddit finally started to crack down on GamerGate, so it filled up with Nazis. Bluesky was in position when Elon acquired Twitter, destroyed the “legitimacy” the verification system, and made it pay-to-win, so it filled up with VBNMW liberals and associated clout chasers.
My tea’s gone cold, I’m wondering why
I got out of bed at all
The morning rain clouds up my window
And I can’t see at all
And even if I could, it’d all be grey
But your picture on my wall
It reminds me that it’s not so bad
It’s not so bad
If they lit the candle, we’ll know before the day is through.
Taking one on the chin is not in their vocabulary.
CW: torture
The hot metal rods thing is a practice literally taken straight out of Nazi death camps.
15·4 days ago
The news has reached Maddy :)
poast,org is a “freeze peach” fediverse instance (they run pleroma, IIRC). They have found their way onto several curated block-lists due to a reputation of harassment and hate speech. Their microblogging instance appears to be down, but they also host a PeerTube instance and it has very CW anti-trans shit on the front page.
Anything hosted by them should fall under the “no direct links to reactionary sources” rule IMO.
Updated Hurricane Milton Forecast Discussion
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/080834.shtml?
MIATCDAT4+shtml/080834.shtml?) 000
WTNT44 KNHC 080834
TCDAT4
Hurricane Milton Discussion Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024
400 AM CDT Tue Oct 08 2024
The structure of Milton has changed significantly overnight. The pinhole eye seen yesterday has filled and earlier aircraft data showed a double eyewall structure. More recent microwave images show only one larger eyewall, and it is clear that Milton is completing an eyewall replacement cycle. These eyewall replacement cycles are common in strong hurricanes and often cause the peak winds to fluctuate, while the wind field generally expands. Based on the aircraft data from a few hours ago, the initial intensity is set at 135 kt. Both the NOAA and Air Force Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate Milton again later this morning.
The major hurricane is beginning to gain latitude, and the latest initial motion estimate is 075/10 kt. A turn to the northeast with a slight increase in forward speed is expected later today and Wednesday as the hurricane moves in the flow between a trough digging into the Gulf of Mexico and a ridge near the Greater Antilles. This motion should take the core of Milton to west-central Florida Wednesday night. After the hurricane passes Florida, a faster east-northeastward motion is expected within a more zonal steering flow. Little change was made to the track forecast through landfall, but this prediction is a little slower while the system enters and moves over the Atlantic.
Fluctuations in strength due to continued structural changes are likely during the next day or so while Milton moves across the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico. An increase in vertical wind shear will likely cause some weakening before the hurricane reaches Florida, but there is high confidence that Milton will remain an extremely dangerous hurricane when it reaches the state. After landfall, more notable weakening is forecast and Milton is now expected to become extratropical by day 3 when it is over the Atlantic. The NHC intensity forecast lies at the high end of the model guidance in best agreement with the hurricane regional models.
Milton is still a relatively compact hurricane, but the wind field is expected to continue to grow in size as it approaches Florida. In fact, the official forecast shows the hurricane and tropical-storm-force winds roughly doubling in size by the time it makes landfall. Therefore, damaging winds, life-threatening storm surge, and heavy rainfall will extend well outside the forecast cone. It is worth emphasizing that this is a very serious situation and residents in Florida should closely follow orders from their local emergency management officials. Milton has the potential to be one of the most destructive hurricanes on record for west-central Florida.
Key Messages:
Damaging hurricane-force winds and a life-threatening storm surge with destructive waves are expected across portions of the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula today.
Milton is expected to grow in size and remain an extremely dangerous hurricane when it approaches the west coast of Florida on Wednesday. A large area of destructive storm surge will occur along parts of the west coast of Florida. This is an extremely life-threatening situation and residents in those areas should follow advice given by local officials and evacuate immediately if told to do so.
Devastating hurricane-force winds are expected along portions of the west coast of Florida, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect. Milton is forecast to remain a hurricane as it crosses the Florida Peninsula and life-threatening hurricane-force winds, especially in gusts, are expected to spread inland across the peninsula. Preparations to protect life and property in the warning areas should be complete by tonight.
Areas of heavy rainfall will continue to impact portions of Florida well ahead of Milton through early Thursday. This rainfall brings the risk of life-threatening flash, urban and aerial flooding along with moderate to major river flooding. Flooding will be exacerbated in areas where coastal and inland flooding combine to increase the overall threat.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 08/0900Z 22.3N 88.9W 135 KT 155 MPH
12H 08/1800Z 22.9N 87.5W 140 KT 160 MPH
24H 09/0600Z 24.2N 85.8W 135 KT 155 MPH
36H 09/1800Z 26.0N 84.2W 125 KT 145 MPH
48H 10/0600Z 27.6N 82.6W 110 KT 125 MPH…NEAR THE COAST
60H 10/1800Z 28.8N 79.9W 70 KT 80 MPH…OVER WATER
72H 11/0600Z 29.7N 76.5W 60 KT 70 MPH…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 12/0600Z 30.4N 69.9W 45 KT 50 MPH…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 13/0600Z 31.5N 63.8W 35 KT 40 MPH…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
$$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Graphics