Ukraine is not supposed to win militarily on the battlefield. If the West wanted Ukraine to win, things such as allowing AFU to use ATACMS on Russian territory would not be a debate. The West wants Russia to attack Ukraine out of security necessity by threatening the expansion of NATO to Georgia and Ukraine, which it announced in 2008. Russia is a nuclear power. You don’t threaten defeat on a nuclear power without risk.

The situation is like how the Russians were arming the North Vietnamese against Americans. The US justified involvement in Vietnam because of the so-called communist domino theory. North Vietnam won anyway and the South fell to the communist, and the communist domino threat theory went unquestioned. Because the domino theory was absurd. Vietnamese were ultranationalist, and no communist domino effect happened when the US cut and ran. The idea that communism was like a virus that needed to be contained from turning into a pandemic was a justification to be involved in the politics of other countries. Vietnamese were never allies of China or the Russians, just like the mujahedeen were never allies with the US.

These counteroffensives are propaganda for the consumption of the gullible public and civilian leadership to justify extending the war. An enemy that had years to create a defensive line, with another line behind it, isn’t going to break meaningfully. When you launch a counteroffensive, the risk if you overextend and can’t sustain the offensive. This is a political war in the grand scheme of things. Launching a NATO style offensive was a signal to Russia that NATO has it in their gunfights, and that Ukraine will eventually be a NATO country.

Russia decided on a war of attrition because it does not have a large enough population to draw from, despite being the bigger country. The logistical issues have been there for a long time.

Contrary to Western misinformation, Russians do not send in wave attacks. They did that in the very early days of the war as reconnaissance, to measure the hostility of enemy territory. Those were conscripts.

To win a war of attrition, you need firepower. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to recognize that Ukrainians are under-equipped. If Ukrainians don’t release actual KIA numbers, you just need to look at their equipment numbers. Not only is there no evidence of Russian wave attacks. It makes no sense to do that when you have a firepower advantage over the enemy. Ukrainian counteroffensives only benefit the war of attrition strategy that Russia is fighting. The point of attrition is to gradually decrease the strength of the enemy, before you move in. That is done by enveloping the enemy forces from three sides, under range of artillery. Destroy the supply depots of the enemy, their equipment, and infrastructure. In addition, air superiority. Ukrainian SAM batteries are actively hunted, and simply are not effective against swarms of cheap drones. This makes air superiority even more important.

Ukrainians have to measure vitality by being aggressive, because the numbers don’t support their claim otherwise. That is why they won’t release KIA numbers, and they feign strength by being offensive. Zelenskyy’s propaganda speeches use these offensives, such as in the one in Kursk, as the visible strength of Ukraine on the battlefield. Ukrainians were more successful in 2022 when the Russian military was weak due to war rust and the decaying nature of the Russian military. The Russian military of 2024 is much better than the Russian military of 2022.

Israel is not a liberal democracy. The “State of Israel” is an ethnic-state. That was the purpose since the beginning. People can assume it is a liberal democracy, then those people would lack common sense. Israel is a country for the Jews to control. An ethnocracy can be totally secular and not be religious. The article uses Western terms that does not fully capture the mindset. The Israeli elites are not ultra-orthodox. If the Israeli lobby is any indication, these Israelis who are moving due to security situation, are still partial to the state of Israel. The state of Israel is one of those priorities that many Jews, even non-Jews, think is important. And that is why Israel has such a powerful lobby within the US. It is basically the 51st state of the US while being autonomous. A liberal democracy is equality under the law and suffrage for all. Israel isn’t that, and if these people value liberal democracy over the ethnic homeland, there are plenty of Western countries for that.

Tony Blinken is Netanyahu’s lawyer. He is there to keep him out of legal & political trouble.

What do you expect from Reddit? Each Subreddit has millions of rules. It is like walking on a field of landmines. They even censor the names of certain politicians in a Subreddit is that totally relevant for. For example, you can’t mention the name of a governor of a state, in which the state is subject of the subRedditt. Redditt is ONLY for “clique-based communities.” It is a fascist news aggregator posing as something legitimate. They also don’t allow new user accounts posting or doing anything unless you pass their Shittitt qualifications. The mods mischaracterize you and your arguments in order to ban you.

Going for scraps are we?

They want more money by proving they can progress on something.

American labor is 50% more expensive than in Taiwan. The US doesn’t have the skilled labor necessary to expand capacity. The attrition rate is high at 40% because the semiconductor market competes with other industries for the same labor, and American workers don’t like the work culture. To retain workers, American fabs need to bid up prices. Semiconductors produced in the US will need to pass on their costs onto consumers, and demand for the final product is affected by prices, not just utility. Passing on costs onto consumers, governments subsidies will probably still be necessary many years into the future.

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There is some religious attachment, but the predominate influence is the flawed US liberal democratic system that allows dual Israeli and American citizenship. There are countries that allow only one citizenship, probably for that reason. The lobbies pay for political campaigns, and Quid Pro Quos. Israel owns Congress and uses the US to gather intelligence, funds, contraband, and for protection. That is why it can do whatever it wants and disobey American demands. It is a political capture of another country through legal means. Whatever restraints Israel has is due to the watchful eyes of international institutions and world opinion. The US does not restrain Israel more than it enables it. Israel is the only beneficiary in the US-Israel relationship. Israel offers nothing in return for US ties. It is complete political capture for their own interest.

Afghanistan US regime was just a source of income and employment for the majority of Afghans working for it. When it came to actually show conviction for democratic values, the phony government bowed over.

Most Israelis are anti-Palestinian. Whatever anti-war, or political protests you see on TV is not because they sympathize with Palestinians, but, because the security situation means they have rockets falling on their houses, and they are forced to evacuate. Israel is an ethno-nationalist state created with ethnic cleansing in its foundation. Israeli’s are able to capture the US political system because Jews have been proportionally part of the elites. These are educated people with wealth and as a result of equitable democratic system, they are able to have great influence.

Israel is betting that the US will protect Israel.

Problem is India doesn’t manufacture anything.

High-Tech American Weapons Work Against Russia—Until They Don’t  - WSJ https://archive.is/20240712081759/https://www.wsj.com/world/us-weapons-russia-ukraine-0eed240c

That must mean Zelensky is the de facto leader of Ukraine for the next 10 years, with his presidential terms expired.

Joe Biden was always a warmonger.

The Telegraph makes it seem Ukraine is an amazing country.

Ludwig Von Mises was a highly educated man and spoke post college level English and his native tongue, German. Are you sure you want to compare credentials? Joe Biden speaks well below high school level. Joe has nothing on a genius. His economic advisor is an embarrassment to responsible statecraft. The meritless kakistocracy that democratic Marxist activism promotes, for example DEI, promoting based on social justice instead of merit. Mises was a great man, Biden is a mediocre man who is elected by people who consider themselves less than him.

I hate this guy, and they give this guy plenty of TV time. An American politician goes on mainstream news media talking about nuclear weapons on people. This is the type of personalities that trustworthy mainstream news media puts on air all the time. I think the American population are undergoing a wide psychological operation.

Putin does not trust the West anymore and Russia is in the driver’s seat. They could gain much more territory of the Russian-speaking oblasts and if the Ukraine army collapses; basically ineffective to defense, Russia is going to take Odessa. This will also embarrass the US military industrial complex in their 10-year agreements and 10 year contracts to build artillery shells basically for nothing if Russia can pull a major victory this summer.

Biden wants to avoid prison for sponsoring genocide. And he wants the Gen Z votes.