Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.
The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.
Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.
I don’t know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.
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Last week’s thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
A lot of dooming in this thread. Nasrallah is a massive loss, he’ll be missed and honoured as a true hero. But we’re really missing the forest for the trees here. What’s next for Israel? What wins do they even have left? What happens when tomorrow, and the next day, and the next day, and every day after that, when the rockets keep flying into northern Israel, when the settlers are still unable to return to their homes, when the residents of Haifa keep running for cover? Nasrallah has already won, the decline of the entity is baked in. There’s nothing for them to do but death, death at a mass scale, but none of it changes the game. Hezbollah will keep pounding the Israelis, and a thousand Nasrallahs wait in the ranks. Leaders are important, but when the people have resolve you cannot stop them. If you need some hope today watch The Battle of Algiers, it shows how even if you kill everybody, you eliminate all the leaders, you cannot kill the movement. You cannot win.
why are we confident that inconveniencing the Zionists is fulfilling a win condition? the squeamish settlers have already left, americans are footing the bill in perpetuity. support for Bibi is at it’s highest point so far. you underestimate the enemy. they are ideologically committed freaks, with an unlimited bankroll. they aren’t a handful of piedsnoirs, who have to worry about resolve back home. they want the frog to be boiled; they want the conflict to continue so the grass can be cut.
Because that is how liberations struggles work. A resistance movement can never overpower the imperialists (They have a fucking empire) but they can make the inconvenience cost more than the benefit of the colony.
The settlers aren’t the ones who are keeping isisrael afloat they are the ones who will drag the empire down and when the empire realizes the costs are too great they will cut them loose. The empire didnt want gaza or the west bank it was the deranged settlers that pushed for that. usa would have been happy to have isisrael at the 67 borders if that kept everything calm but the settlers keep rocking the boat. All usa wanted was a foot hold, an unsinkable aircraft carrier but the zionist settlers demanded all the land they could take.
Eventually the accountants will open the books and convince the bosses they can’t afford it any more.
Yeah I am not a doomer, but I think people are critically overstating the blows to Israel. You are allowed to say that victory for the resistance is not a given, and these losses are still escalating. There needs to be enough intact to actually mount a resistance when Israel becomes weak enough, or an existing organization to take control if a ceasefire is made.
I don’t claim to know what to do, but I don’t like bravado